I went 8-6 with picks last week, and I am 13-13 since starting this series in week 4. Not awful, not great. Here is my slate for this week, which features more than a few great matchups.
Jacksonville at Tennessee -1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville does not get their first win of the season in week 6. They face a very determined Titans team, who is coming off a demoralizing come-from-behind defeat to Cleveland last week. This Titans team is actually a talented group, and they will showcase that to whoever tunes into this AFC South snoozer.
Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter are one of the speediest receiver duos in the league, and they will burn this Jax secondary. Expect TDs for both of them, no matter who plays QB for Tennessee.
Prediction: Titans: 23 Jaguars: 13
Baltimore at Tampa Bay -1:00 PM ET
Pick: Tampa Bay
Baltimore was a wreck last week, and Tampa Bay was absolutely fantastic. Both lost, but one lost a lot more respectably.
Mike Glennon has secured the starting job for Tampa Bay, and if he hasn’t, then he will soon. He has played like an artist the last few games and made do with the few weapons he has. The Bucs are showing that they can win games, and that is what they will do tomorrow.
Doug Martin won’t be a factor, but Vincent Jackson and Louis Murphy will be. Flacco will throw for less than 200 yards and toss 2 picks.
Prediction: Baltimore:20 Tampa Bay: 27
Denver at New York Jets -1:00 PM ET
This one is a no brainer. Jets fans may have to turn off their TV sets in the second quarter, because this one will get ugly. Rex Ryan knows his job is on the line, but he has nothing to throw at Denver to stop them.
Peyton will throw for over 350 and nearly reach Brett Favre’s record of 508 touchdowns, throwing 4 ( 1 shy away from tying). The Jets will put up a poor defensive showing, but Geno Smith will at least prove he is a better option than Vick, tossing two garbage time TDs.
Prediction: Denver: 42 NYJ: 17
Detroit at Minnesota -1:00 PM ET
Detroit and Minnesota will duke it out in a shootout that makes Teddy Bridgewater look like the true QB of the future in Minneapolis.
Unfortunately, the high ranked Detroit defense will halt him just short of a victory with the team. Expect big numbers from everyone involved here, with Bridgewater, Stafford, Bush, Asiata, Tate, and especially Cordarelle Patterson having big games.
Prediction: Detroit: 38 Vikings: 31
New England at Buffalo -1:00 PM ET
Pick: New England
This one is going to be a hard fought battle. Both of these squads want this victory more than anything, as this AFC East rivalry is one of the best.
The Bills will put out a spirited effort despite Kyle Orton at QB, but they won’t pull out the victory. The newly owned Bills will lose to the Patriots, who have a new fire to their play after defeating Cincinnati last Monday.
Tom Brady will throw for over 300 yards, the Bills will rush for over 200 yards, and Kyle Orton will toss two picks, making E.J. Manuel look much better.
Prediction: Patriots: 28 Bills: 21
Carolina at Cincinnati -1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati will drop yet another game after being spat on by New England on national television last week. Andy Dalton will play well, but without A.J Green, he won’t find the endzone more than twice.
Carolina will get back rolling after a great come from behind win against Chicago last week, and Cam will finally have a huge day. They also have Jonathan Stewart back, which gives them a solid weapon back in the run game.
Stat predictions: Newton – 200 yards, 3 TDS (1 pass, two rush) Dalton – 340 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Prediction: Panthers: 24 Bengals: 20
Pittsburgh at Cleveland -1:00 PM ET
Just the second meeting between these two teams in 6 weeks, this one will be a bruiser. Brian Hoyer and his Browns will want to get revenge on their loss early in the year, which came down to a field goal.
That is exactly what they will do. Ben Tate will have another 100 yard game, Hoyer will toss some big bombs, and Big Ben will not be able to connect with Antonio Brown because of Joe Haden. This one will come down to the wire, though.
Prediction: Browns: 33 Steelers: 3o
Green Bay at Miami -1:00 PM ET
Miami, coming off of a bye week, should be very prepared for the Packer attack.
Ryan Tannehill was impressive in London in week 4, and should try to carry that success over against a much better opponent than the Raiders.
If Green Bay can’t contain Mike Wallace and Lamar Miller, they won’t have a shot. If they do, this one could go either way.
Prediction: Packers: 27 Dolphins: 35
San Diego at Oakland – 4:05 PM ET
Pick: San Diego
He is going to take flight this game, posting over 150 total yards and two TDs. And, against this Raiders defense, he won’t be the only Charger putting up huge numbers.
This blow out will be the second in a row for the Chargers.
Prediction: Chargers: 35 Raiders: 10
Chicago at Atlanta – 4:25 PM ET
The Bears are a good team with a good offense and solid defense, and I still believe that. Atlanta, on the other hand, is a lopsided team, with a hugely talented offense and a no-talent defense.
What happens when a good offense faces a bad defense?
Expect those from Matt Forte, Alshon Jeffery, and Brandon Marshall.
Prediction: Bears: 31 Falcons: 27
Dallas at Seattle – 4:25 PM ET
This one is what it is.
A pretender vs. THE contender.
Dallas has to fall back down to Earth sometime, and this is a good week to start.
Prediction: Seahawks: 34 Cowboys: 20
Washington at Arizona – 4:25 PM ET
The Cardinals may not be undefeated anymore, but they don’t need to be to beat the Redskins.
Drew Stanton is back from his brief absence, and he is looking to lay out some punishing moves on Washington.
This will be a close game, with Kirk Cousins actually playing well, but is still a longshot for the Skins to win.
Prediction: Cardinals: 28 Redskins: 20
Sunday Night Football:New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles – 8:30 PM ET
If this was in New York, my pick would be different. But it isn’t, so the Eagles win. It’s that simple.
There is no way Eli Manning can walk into Philly and pull out a victory, no matter how much momentum the Giants have. Andre Williams will have a huge game, though, and noticeably outperform LeSean McCoy.
Prediction: Eagles: 35 Giants: 31
Monday Night Football: San Francisco at St. Louis – 8:30 PM ET
Pick: San Francisco
As well as Austin Davis and the Rams have played, there is a small chance they can pull off the upset on Monday Night. There is too much surrounding Jim Harbaugh for him to let his team lose, and they will pull through.
Stats: Austin Davis: 300 yards, 3 TDs, 3 INTs
Colin Kaepernick: 250 yards, two pass + two rush TDs
Prediction: 49ers: 38 Rams: 24